Dornoch, Horse Owned by Ex-MLB All-Star Jayson Werth, Wins 2024 Belmont Stakes

Dornoch, Horse Owned by Ex-MLB All-Star Jayson Werth, Wins 2024 Belmont Stakes

The 156th running of the Belmont Stakes ended in upset fashion Saturday at Saratoga Race Course, with underdog Dornoch besting the field to claim the victory.

Taking off from the sixth post position, Dornoch was neck-and-neck with Preakness Stakers winner Seize the Grey for most of the race. The horse, jockeyed by Luis Saez, broke free on the final turn and beat out Mindframe and Sierra Leone for the win.

Dornoch entered the race with 15-1 odds to win, per FanDuel, which ranked eighth in the 10-horse race. Sierra Leone, which finished in third place, was the slight favorite.

Dornoch is owned in part by former MLB All-Star Jayson Werth, who played 1,583 games for four teams from 2002 to '17. Werth won the 2008 World Series with the Philadelphia Phillies. He is now a Belmont Stakes winner.

"I would put it right up there with winning on the biggest stage," Werth said on the FOX broadcast. "Horse racing is the most underrated sport in the world, bar none... This is as good as it gets in horse racing; this is as good as it gets in sports."

Dornoch's victory Saturday in the Belmont Stakes marked an end to this year's Triple Crown races.

Idina Menzel Singing 'New York, New York' at Belmont Stakes Draws Mixed Fan Reactions

Idina Menzel Singing ‘New York, New York’ at Belmont Stakes Draws Mixed Fan Reactions

Each of the United States' three Triple Crown horse races—in an only-in-America touch—has, or has had in the past, its own signature song.

The Kentucky Derby has "My Old Kentucky Home," a Stephen Foster ballad popular during the Civil War. The Preakness Stakes formerly had the martial, pro-Confederate "Maryland, My Maryland"—finally jettisoned in 2020.

The Belmont Stakes, however, has the people's champion—the beloved "New York, New York," made famous by Frank Sinatra in 1980. Its fame, on par with "Happy Birthday," makes it hard to butcher.

However, many fans weren't feeling Broadway legend Idina Menzel's rendition before the Belmont Stakes Saturday. You can judge for yourself here.

Some compared it to the most infamous sports vocal performance of this century—Fergie's national anthem at the 2018 NBA All-Star Game.

Sinatra's version was used as a point of reference (although to be fair, who could hope to compete with Frank Sinatra?)

A few fans noted that Fox's audio setup did Menzel no favors (this appeared especially true on the last verse).

All told, theatre and horse racing made strange bedfellows.

Even fans of Menzel had to concede it wasn't the finest hour for a vocal powerhouse.

Belmont Stakes 2024: Full List of Competitors, Odds, Post Time, How to Watch

Belmont Stakes 2024: Full List of Competitors, Odds, Post Time, How to Watch

The 156th running of the Belmont Stakes, the final leg of the 2024 Triple Crown, will take place on Saturday afternoon in Saratoga Springs, NY.

The race will certainly feel a little different this year in Saratoga rather than Belmont Park, as the race has temporarily moved due to a $455 million renovation to the Belmont track.

Saturday's race will have a different feel not only in location, but in distance. Since the race will take place at Saratoga Race Course, it will be a much shorter running than the usual 1.5 mile sprint.

Instead of being the longest race of the Triple Crown, it will be 1.25 miles this year, which is the same distance as the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs.

Now that we got the background of this year's unique Belmont Stakes out of the way, here's some additional pertinent information about Saturday's race itself.

This year's Belmont will feature both the winner of the Kentucky Derby, Mystik Dan, as well as the winner of the Preakness Stakes, Seize The Grey.

However, the morning line favorite at the Belmont Stakes is neither of the two previous Triple Crown race winners. Instead, it's Sierra Leone, who is a 9-5 betting favorite.

Below is a list of all the horses competing in the 2024 Belmont Stakes, along with their morning line odds, courtesy of the Belmont Stakes' official website.

Seize The Grey: 8-1

Resilience: 10-1

Mystik Dan: 5-1

The Wine Steward: 15-1

Antiquarian: 12-1

Dornoch: 15-1

Protective: 20-1

Honor Marie: 12-1

Sierra Leone: 9-5

Mindframe: 7-2

Saturday's post time for the 156th Belmont Stakes at Saratoga Race Course is at 6:41 p.m. ET.

The 2024 Belmont Stakes will be nationally televised live on Fox.

Belmont Stakes Ticket Prices 2024: How Much Does It Cost to Attend?

Belmont Stakes Ticket Prices 2024: How Much Does It Cost to Attend?

The final leg of the Triple Crown is here—although it looks a little different than in years past.

This year's Belmont Stakes, the last of the three meaningful horse races of the year behind the Kentucky Derby and Preakness, is not being held at its classic location of Belmont Park. Instead, the race will be held at Saratoga, a track quite used to large crowds and big races. Belmont Park is undergoing renovations this year so the race shifted to Saratoga.

There are no horses competing to complete the Triple Crown this year after Mystik Dan won the Derby and Seize the Grey took the top spot at Preakness. But it's still set to be a great day of horse racing.

How much would it cost to meander on up to Saratoga and buy tickets to see the Belmont Stakes play out? Here's the breakdown of the ticket prices.

You can find the various pricing options available through the Belmont Stakes website, which then redirects to Ticketmaster. There, general admission tickets are currently going for $64.35, or $55 before fees. The GA ticket gets you onto the grounds where you can enjoy all the basic amenities the course has to offer, and offers standing room access for the Clubhouse, Grandstand, and Backyard areas.

However, there are alternative options if you were interested in a more elevated experience.

For a prime view at the final turn, you'll want a ticket for the Cutwater Stretch Grandstand. It's an exclusive private hospitality area with a buffet, cash bar, and private betting areas. Prices vary for the Cutwater Stretch; the cheapest available is $556 after fees and the priciest, which secures you a front-row seat in the Grandstand right at the turn itself, is going for $2,574.

Should you really want to ball out, you can rent out a Spa Veranda on top of the Grandstand at the final turn. Each veranda can host up to 50 guests apiece and comes with "an all-inclusive platter and premium open bar package." They are available starting at $5,500.

If proximity to the finish line is all that matters, you better have bought your tickets a while ago. The only luxury seating area located directly next to the finish line is The Porch, which sold out well in advance. However, there are tickets still available for the 1863 Club, which is just past the finish line. A ticket to get in the door there is going for $2,020.

All in all, as was the case with the Derby and Preakness, it is not altogether unreasonable to simply get through the gates to see the race. The bill runs high when you start branching out into additional amenities. But if you wanted to just see the horses, $65 is all that it'll cost.

Enjoy the race!

SI Studios to Release Documentary on Life of Famed Female Jockey Julie Krone

SI Studios to Release Documentary on Life of Famed Female Jockey Julie Krone

Sports Illustrated Studios, a division of Authentic Studios, in partnership with Spyglass Media Group, will produce an exclusive documentary on the life of renowned female horse jockey Julie Krone, the entertainment company announced on Thursday.

The documentary will highlight the numerous accomplishments of Krone, who is the only female jockey to win a Triple Crown race when she rode Colonial Affair to victory in the 1993 Belmont Stakes. Disaster would strike shortly thereafter however, as Krone was thrown from her horse and trampled during a race later that year, leaving her with devastating injuries and a fight for her life.

Krone returned to the saddle in 1994 after months of rehabilitation and healing, and went on to ride competitively for another decade. She bookended her career by becoming the first woman to win a Breeders' Cup race in 2003. She concluded her illustrious tenure with 3,704 professional wins and was the first woman inducted into the Thoroughbred Racing Hall of Fame in Saratoga Springs, New York.

"We are thrilled to bring Julie's incredible story to audiences across the world," Colin Smeeton, the president of Authentic Studios said in the press release. "Her resilience, skill, and passion have left an indelible mark on the sport of horse racing and serve as an inspiration to athletes everywhere."

The release date of the documentary has yet to be announced.

Julie Krone, Horse Racing Jockey Sports Illustrated CoverJulie Krone, Horse Racing Jockey Sports Illustrated Cover

Sports Illustrated Cover Horse Racing: Closeup portrait of jockey Julie Krone (7) at Aqueduct Race Track. Jamaica, NY 4/18/1989 CREDIT: Heinz Kluetmeier (Photo by Heinz Kluetmeier /Sports Illustrated) (Set Number: X38124 TK5 ) / Sports Illustrated Cover

The Belmont Stakes 2024: Odds, Horses and Post Positions (Sierra Leone Favored)

The Belmont Stakes 2024: Odds, Horses and Post Positions (Sierra Leone Favored)

The final leg of the Triple Crown -- the 2024 Belmont Stakes -- takes place this weekend, but there won't be a Triple Crown Winner.

Still, both the Kentucky Derby Winner (Mystik Dan) and the Preakness Stakes Winner (Seize the Grey) will race at Saratoga Race Course in Saratoga Springs, New York on Saturday.

Despite both winners of the first two legs racing, it's Kentucky Derby runner up Sierra Leone that has the top spot in the opening odds.

With post positions now official, here's a look at the field for the Belmont Stakes as well as the odds for each horse competing.

  1. Seize the Grey
  2. Resilience
  3. Mystik Dan
  4. The Wine Steward
  5. Antiquarian
  6. Dornoch
  7. Protective
  8. Honor Marie
  9. Sierra Leone
  10. Mindframe

Sierra Leone has three first place finishes and two second place finishes in five career starts, with the most recent race it participated in coming at the Kentucky Derby.

Since Sierra Leone didn't run in the Preakness, could it have an edge against some of the competition that has ran in both?

While neither Mystik Dan or Seize the Grey is favored in this race, they both are near the top of the odds. Mystik Dan clocks in at No. 3 at 5-1 while Seize the Grey is No. 4 at 8-1.

Mindfram (7-2) is an interesting No. 2 option, as the horse won both of its previous starts in 2024, although it did not run in either the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Mystik Dan Delivers Kentucky Derby Victory for the Ages

Mystik Dan Delivers Kentucky Derby Victory for the Ages

Walking by the Kentucky Derby winner’s circle after the biggest victory of his life, trainer Kenny McPeek held the hand of his daughter, Annie. McPeek looked at her and, with his other hand, held his index finger and thumb about three inches apart. That was his assessment of the margin of victory in one of the most dramatic Derbies in the 150-year history of the race.

A three-horse photo finish, the first in the Derby since 1947, turned the 1 1/4-mile race into a withering battle of inches in the final strides. Nobody knew in real time who won—Mystik Dan on the inside, or the hard-charging duo of Sierra Leone and Forever Young in the middle of the track. When the official order of finish was posted it evoked gasps and roars from the Churchill Downs crowd of 156,710, with Mystik Dan declared the winner by a nose over Sierra Leone in second and Forever Young third.

Mystik Dan’s win was a significant upset at odds of 18-1, but the first career Derby win for McPeek and jockey Brian Hernandez nearly got away from them at the last second. Hernandez had gotten Mystik Dan clear in the stretch and was seemingly home free, driving for the finish line. Hernandez had no idea what was coming for him.

“Three jumps before the wire,” he said, “I didn’t see them at all.”

Then the pursuers loomed alongside. Sierra Leone and Forever Young waged their own battle and evoked memories of the 1933 “Fighting Finish” Derby, in which the jockeys of Brokers Tip and Head Play engaged in literal hand-to-hand combat in the stretch. Sierra Leone jockey Tyler Gafflione reached out with his left hand to seemingly grab the saddle or reins of Forever Young as they dueled. In the end, they both came up agonizingly short.

Past the wire, Hernandez thought he won but wasn’t sure as Mystik Dan galloped out around the turn. The jockey asked an outrider if the result was official yet, but it wasn’t.

“That was the longest two minutes in sports,” Hernandez said. “From the fastest two minutes (as the Derby is known) to the longest two minutes.”

After that brief eternity, the outrider got the news and relayed it to Hernandez: “You just won the Kentucky Derby.”

That moment capped an epic 25 hours for McPeek and Hernandez, who teamed up to win the Kentucky Oaks Friday with monster filly Thorpedo Anna. McPeek became the first trainer since 1952 to win that double, and Hernandez was the first jockey to do so since 2009. Neither man operates at the highest echelon of horse racing, but they stand astride the sport today.

In the days leading up to those races, McPeek radiated an almost outrageous confidence. “It wouldn’t surprise me if I won both,” he said two weeks ago. 

The Oaks unfolded largely as expected Friday, with 4-1 Thorpedo Anna (“a grizzly,” McPeek says) dominating. Then came the harder part Saturday.

McPeek arrived at his Churchill barn at 7:30 a.m. Saturday, opened the back of his Mercedes SUV to let out his dog, and greeted reporters with this line: “Let’s do it again tonight.”

And then they did, with Hernandez delivering a ride that was both smart and daring. 

The 38-year-old Louisiana native, who rides regularly at Churchill, got Mystik Dan out of the gate cleanly and steered him from the No. 3 post quickly to the rail for a ground-saving trip. Hernandez kept Mystik Dan tucked into a pocket of clear ground, never farther back than eighth place, settling the colt into an easy stride. “He was just cruising along so nicely and so comfortable,” Hernandez said.

From there, Hernandez drafted behind Track Phantom through the far turn. When Track Phantom drifted just a touch off the rail, Hernandez pounced. He urged Mystik Dan into the hole like a running back finding a sliver of daylight. 

Joel Rosario appeared to try to swerve Track Phantom back over to cut him off. The two horses bumped hips but Mystik Dan was undeterred—he’s a smaller horse but still powered through along the rail and cut the corner into the stretch, drawing clear.

“Brian gave us a huge opportunity because we saved ground, saved ground, saved ground,” McPeek said. “And when you look at that photo finish, I think we needed all of it to hold off the two second- and third-place horses.”

It takes incredible nerve to urge a horse into a tight spot at high speed. But the Derby was on the line. It was a now-or-never moment and a spur-of-the-moment decision.

150th Kentucky Derby

Mystik Dan, far, ridden by Brian Hernandez Jr won the 150th Kentucky Derby.

Matt Stone//Courier Journal / USA TODAY

“We might have took out a little bit of the inside fence, but that's okay,” Hernandez joked.

Hernandez had spent many years at Churchill learning from the master of the inside move, Calvin Borel, who won Derbies aboard Mine That Bird and Super Saver by hugging the rail. The shortest way around the track is as close to the rail as possible.

“As a young kid out of Louisiana, I got the privilege of sitting in the same corner (in the jockeys room) as Calvin Borel,” Hernandez said. “So I got to watch him ride those Derbies all those years. And today, with Mystik Dan being in the three‑hole, I watched a couple of his rides there between Super Saver and Mine That Bird. I said, ‘You know what? We're going to roll the dice.’”

Hernandez rolled sevens, Meanwhile, favored Fierceness rolled snake eyes—getting a favorable trip and pace but fading badly in the stretch to finish 15th. Second choice Sierra Leone came running late, as expected, but couldn’t collar Mystik Dan.

Sierra Leone was a $2.3 million yearling purchase, regally bred and seemingly destined for this moment. Mystik Dan was a homebred owned by Arkansas businessman Lance Gasaway, a former standout small-college wide receiver for the Arkansas-Monticello Boll Weevils who had never gotten a horse to the Derby before.

Asked what he was going to do Saturday night to celebrate, Gasaway said, “Probably drink a lot of alcohol.”

Gasaway got into racing through his father, who died a year ago Saturday. His stable isn’t lavish, but the decision—informed by input from McPeek—to breed their mare, Ma’am, to former Derby runner Goldencents proved to be the master stroke that produced Mystik Dan.

“This isn’t some zillion-dollar operation,” McPeek said. “We didn’t throw money at this. We thoughtfully went through it all, and it’s amazing.”

The 61-year-old McPeek has been around the sport for a long time, rising to within reach of winning a Derby in the 1990s. He finished second in 1995 with Tejano Run and had the 2001 favorite, Harlan’s Holiday, who finished seventh. Meanwhile, the Lexington, Ky., product and University of Kentucky graduate dabbled in things like developing an app (Horse Races Now) for videos of races. He’s always been a racing wonk who loves to talk about the inner workings of the sport. 

“My grandfather took me to the races at Keeneland when I was boy,” he said. “Learned how to read a pedigree. Used to go to the Keeneland library and read about good horses. Went to [Kentucky] and found the [agriculture] library—in the basement of the agriculture library, I read every thoroughbred and blood horse record ever printed when I was in college.”

He’s won some big races—the 2002 Belmont, the 2020 Preakness, the Kentucky Oaks on Friday—but the Derby had remained elusive. For a Kentuckian, that was tough. Now, he’s reached the pinnacle.

By a matter of inches. The margin between making history and suffering a staggering defeat was that tiny. The three-horse photo finish in the 150th Kentucky Derby will be talked about in the sport for the next 150 years.

Drugs, Deaths and Venom: Horse Racing's Safety Issues Hover Over Kentucky Derby

Drugs, Deaths and Venom: Horse Racing’s Safety Issues Hover Over Kentucky Derby

On Wednesday, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency issued a news release that raised eyebrows and revived suspicions in thoroughbred racing. In the first four months of 2024, the CBP’s Port of Cincinnati office intercepted eight shipments of venom from snakes, scorpions and spiders, plus other substances used as performance enhancers in horses.

The venoms have been used at racetracks as numbing agents for horses, allowing them to run through injuries. The shipments were coming from Mexico, according to the release, and some were headed to people “with nexus to racing or other horse performance venues.”

With the Kentucky Derby on Saturday, this drug bust was another periodic reminder of the drug cloud and attendant equine safety issues that hover over horse racing. So was the recent New York Times documentary, “Broken Horses,” which examined the spates of equine deaths that rocked the sport last year—including 12 at Churchill Downs in the weeks before and after the Derby, which led to an unprecedented shutdown and relocation of the track’s spring meet. And there was the news from Oaklawn Park in Arkansas about two horses under the care of trainer Tim Martin who died suddenly this week.

There are many people attempting to clean up the sport, and progress has been made. The Horseracing Integrity and Safety Authority (HISA) is making strides as a regulatory body, though resistance persists in some corners. In general, racetrack equine deaths have declined over time (though there was a slight rise last year, up from 1.25 per 1,000 starts in 2022 to 1.32 in ’23). It’s harder now to sweep aside horse deaths without some measure of accountability.

But controversies past and present are always close at hand. Take a glance at the entries for the Derby, and a couple of names provide context for the inner conflicts of racing.

One is trainer Saffie Joseph, who will saddle Catalytic in the Run for the Roses. Last year at this time, Joseph was sent packing from Churchill after two of his horses died suddenly, Parents Pride and Chasing Artie. Joseph was suspended and his Derby colt, Lord Miles, was not allowed to run. “I was a scapegoat,” Joseph said at the time, inferring that the track had to find someone to punish amid a cluster of pre-Derby horse deaths.

By the end of June, Joseph had been reinstated at Churchill after a Kentucky Horse Racing Commission investigation. "We remain deeply concerned about the condition of Parents Pride and Chasing Artie that led to their sudden death,” said Bill Mudd, president and chief operating officer of Churchill Downs, Inc. “However, given the details available to us as a result of the KHRC investigation, there is no basis to continue Joseph's suspension.”

Joseph, who said he has never spoken to Churchill CEO Bill Carstanjen, is wondering where he needs to go to have his reputation restored after necropsies of the horses did not conclude anything nefarious.

“It crushes you,” he says. “I’m glad everything worked out and the truth was revealed. One of the horses had rat poison in it—they said that the level wasn’t enough to cause it, but they’re not going to say that. But if you look at the report, it says that. Did that cause it? We don’t know.

“I knew we didn’t do anything. It destroys you.”

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Kentucky Derby horse Track Phantom is co-owned by Brewster and trained by Steve Asmussen.

Matt Stone/The Courier Journal / USA

Another name: Clark Brewster, part owner of Derby runner Track Phantom. He’s better known in racing as Bob Baffert’s voluble, caustic and contentious lawyer.

Baffert is the biggest trainer in the sport and also a current pariah at Churchill. He won a record-breaking seven Kentucky Derbys but had to give the last one back, the 2021 triumph by Medina Spirit, which was stripped after the horse tested positive for a prohibited race-day medication. That has spurred an endless feud between Baffert and Carstanjen.

Baffert initially was assessed a two-year ban from competition at Churchill, knocking him out of the 2022 and ’23 Derbys. Baffert sued Churchill in March ’22, but the case was dismissed last year. Then last July, the suspension was extended another year, with a Churchill release saying that "Mr. Baffert continues to peddle a false narrative concerning the failed drug test of Medina Spirit 
 A trainer who is unwilling to accept responsibility for multiple drug test failures in our highest-profile races cannot be trusted to avoid future misconduct."

That showdown added another chapter this spring when Amr Zedan, owner of the Baffert-trained standout Muth, attempted to sue his way into this Derby. That suit, which cited “Carstanjen egomania” in arguing that Baffert was being unfairly punished, also was unsuccessful. But Muth looms as a potential Preakness favorite and Triple Crown spoiler two weeks after the Derby.

On the slight chance that long-shot Track Phantom wins the Derby, keep the cameras rolling on Brewster. If he encounters Carstanjen in the winner’s circle it could be spicy.

Churchill Downs has gone to massive lengths to gussy itself up for the 150th Derby, sinking $200 million into remodeling its paddock area. The result is a three-level masterpiece of modern architecture that dramatically modernizes the place. It is primarily targeted for use one weekend a year by the rich, of course, but will also be enjoyed and appreciated by everyday racegoers for years to come. 

There is change on the other side of the grandstand as well, less glamorous but more closely aligned to the survival of horse racing: The dirt racing surface has been redone. It’s darker and, some trainers said in recent days, deeper than it had been. A new fleet of tractors harrow the dirt between races and during morning training hours, and new methods of testing the track have been implemented. The horses are wearing biofeedback sensors that can help spot issues with stride and potentially flag developing injuries. A safety management committee composed of trainers, jockeys and other track workers meets once a week.

How much will all that help? It remains to be seen. But the changes are a tacit acknowledgment that the one thing that can kill horse racing is the killing of horses.

Kentucky Derby Ticket Prices 2024: How Much Does It Cost to Get In?

Kentucky Derby Ticket Prices 2024: How Much Does It Cost to Get In?

The 2024 Kentucky Derby has finally arrived, and it is a big one. Saturday's race will mark the 150th to take place at Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY. There will undoubtedly be some additional fanfare to celebrate the sesquicentennial race, but you can also expect the usual Derby fare — outrageous outfits, Mint Juleps, and an exciting race.

There will also be the usual assortment of famous and wealthy individuals in attendance. The Derby, among all its other qualities, is a gathering place for many highly successful individuals, from Tom Brady to Jack Harlow. Even the Queen of England attended back in 2007. Whenever the camera pans ove the crowd during the Derby the audience is almost assured to spot someone rich, famous, or both.

Those people don't have any trouble attending the Derby, what with their endless bank accounts and all. But what are ticket prices like for the general population?

Kentucky Derby Ticket Prices 2024

Tickets can be purchased directly from the Kentucky Derby official website.

An Infield General Admission ticket, which gets you in the door, costs $130. This is as basic as basic admission gets for the Derby. You get to go in through the gates to Churchill Downs, receive a program, enjoy what must be an overpriced specialty cocktail, and set up your own lawn chair to watch the Derby itself on the big board.

The next level of GA is listed as an Infield Final Turn General Admission ticket. The price point starts at $275, and it is as advertised. A standing room only ticket that lets you set up shop on the lawn right by the final turn. An exciting place to be, no matter how close the race is, and a fairly reasonable price upgrade compared to the Infield GA ticket.

A higher-level entry price comes in the form of a Frontside Plaza Walkaround ticket, which are already sold out. The starting price listed on the Derby website for such a ticket is $693. Sold as a two-day package for the Kentucky Oaks as well as the Derby, it's advertised as enjoying "a reimagined view of the Paddock with standing room access and frontside amenities." Regardless, that's a pretty penny, to be sure.

After that is when the real money starts rolling. The hospitality suites are all very expensive; the Silks Balcony & Loge, for example, charges $3,650 for entry. The Turf Club Balcony & Terrace costs $3,525 to get in. There are some more semi-reasonable options, such as the Champions Balcony & Loge ($1,775) or the Plaza Balcony & Loge ($1,775).

The nicest listed options appear to be the Woodford Reserve Paddock Club & Enclosure and the Spires Terrace & Suites. Neither has a price listed; interested parties must contact the Derby. As with many sporting events, the "cheap" options aren't very cheap and the nicest options can run up to thousands of dollars.

That's just about all you need to know about how much it costs to attend the Kentucky Derby in 2024. Enjoy!

A Guide to Betting the 150th Kentucky Derby

A Guide to Betting the 150th Kentucky Derby

The Kentucky Derby is one of the hardest horse races to bet because it’s unknown territory for the equine competitors. They’ve never run this far and never been part of a field this size. With 20 3-year-olds going 1ÂŒ miles, things can get wild and weird.

But that won’t stop the betting public from trying. It might be a fool’s errand trying to hit the Derby, but it’s also a badge of honor. You have to take a swing, if only for the bragging rights if you somehow get it right. 

Accordingly, this is how I would bet $100 in the 150th Run for the Roses on Saturday at Churchill Downs. (Disclaimer: If you unwisely choose to follow my sketchy strategy, that’s a you problem and not a me problem.)

Fierceness is the deserving favorite, and in early wagering, he was bet down from 5–2 to 2–1 as of Thursday afternoon. As is often the case in the gossipy racetrack world, there has been a lot of whispering about whether Fierceness has lost his fastball this week. I’m not buying it.

He’s not physically imposing and isn’t a dazzling morning galloper, but when asked to race, his best is far better than any of his competition. He could, to use a racing term, “bounce” (regress) off his massive Florida Derby effort and still win. Fierceness has the raw speed to get away from early traffic problems as long as he breaks well. 

I look for him to be on or near an honest pace before taking command of the race with about five furlongs to go. If the first half mile is run faster than 46 seconds, that will tax the front-runners; if it’s 46 or slower, they’re in good shape. John Velazquez, Fierceness’s excellent jockey, could dictate the early fractions if he gets to the lead without serious pressure.

The win bet: $40 on Fierceness.

Most of the other $60 will go into exotics in search of a bigger payday. I’ll play a $5, three-horse exacta box with Fierceness, Sierra Leone (5–1 as of Thursday afternoon) and Just A Touch (a juicy 14–1). That bet—which calls for two of those three to finish 1-2, in any order—will cost $30.

I’ll also take a swing at a $1 trifecta part wheel, trying to hit the top three finishers. I’ll play Fierceness and Sierra Leone in first with those two, Just A Touch, Catching Freedom (8–1) and Forever Young (8–1) in both the second and third spots. That’s a $24 bet.

I’ll play a $2 Oaks-Derby double, which is picking the winners of both the Kentucky Oaks on Friday and the Derby on Saturday. The wager there will be on Thorpedo Anna in the Oaks and Fierceness in the Derby.

The last four dollars are simply to avoid actively hating myself. I’ll place a $2 win bet on the horse that’s looked good every morning on the track but I don’t have covered otherwise (Santa Anita Derby winner Stronghold at 34–1) and $2 to win on the longest shot on the board (currently Society Man at 59–1). The latter hedge bet is in deference to the Rich Strike fluke-burger win in 2022.

Good luck to everyone. We can all complain about how bad our wagers turn out Saturday night.