MLB Prop Bets Archives - US Sports News

Painting Corners: Best MLB Prop Bets Today (How to Bet on Freddy Peralta)

Saturday's MLB slate features plenty of intriguing matchups, setting up for different opportuinites in the player prop market.

Freddy Peralta has been pitching like an All-Star this season for the dominant Brewers, who top the NL Central, and I'm looking to back him in the player prop market on Saturday against the limited Tigers lineup.

The Nationals-Braves matchup on Saturday also sets up well for the rising star of the Washington rotation, MacKenzie Gore, who will look to keep rolling against a struggling Braves lineup.

Lastly, keep an eye on Tyler Anderson, who is likely due for a drop in production after a stellar, yet somewhat unsustainable, start to the year.

Best MLB Prop Bets for Saturday, June 8th

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

MacKenzie Gore OVER 16.5 Outs Recorded

Gore has only cleared this mark in five of 12 starts this season, but that number has climbed up to three-of-six since the start of May. He is striking out a career best 27% of batters and has showcased improved command across his pitch arsenal.

He faces a Braves team that is out of sorts at the plate, hitting only .211 in the month of June, as the team struggles to adjust to life without Ronald Acuna Jr.

Gore is pitching at a high level, I'll buy into the ceiling on Saturday.

Freddy Peralta OVER 6.5 Strikeouts

Peralta has gone over this mark in nine of 12 starts this season, so this is far from a tough hill to climb.

It helps that Peralta is facing a Tigers team that strikes out nearly 29% against right handed pitching this season and is bottom 10 in OPS as a whole.

Detroit won't provide much resistance against Peralta, who won't have any issues getting to his season long qutoa.

Tyler Anderson UNDER 3.5 Strikeouts

Anderson has gone over this mark in nine of 13 starts this season, so why am I going under?

This is strictly matchup based as the Astros tee off against left handed pitching, 11th in OPS, and have the fourth fewest strikeouts against southpaws despite ranking ninth in total at bats.

Anderson is a prime regression candidate, his 2.37 ERA is supported by a 4.49 xERA and he only strikes out 16% of batters he faces.

Houston may be set for a big night at the plate, and the team's sound plate discipline makes me bullish the team can keep Anderson under his season long mark.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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8 Jun 24 Jimm Sallivan

Daily Dinger: Best MLB Home Run Picks Today (Royce Lewis’ Stellar Return Continues)

There are 15 Major League Baseball games on Saturday, plenty of action for us to comb through and cash in.

In the home run market, I've targeted three sluggers that are in strong position to go yard and cash in at long odds, including Royce Lewis, who has returned from an early season injury to hit two home runs in his first three games back.

Lewis, along with J.D. Martinez and Jeremy Pena headlines Saturday's Daily Dinger card.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

J.D. Martinez

Major League Baseball heads to London, where hitters should feast with the wind blowing out at about 10 miles per hour. This sets up favorably for Martinez, who has elite metrics against left pitching, posting .342/.419/.553 splits this season.

The Mets will face Ranger Suarez on Saturday, the lefty pitcher who has been posting Cy Young like metrics this season for Philadelphia, driving up the typical price Martinez would have against lefties.

Given the hitting conditions at London Stadium, I'll bite despite Suarez having a strong year.

Royce Lewis

Lewis has three home runs in 11 at bats this season despite missing a chunk of the year. The former top prospect has proven amidst the injury bug that he can hit at a high level, and I'll go back to the well against a below average Pirates bullpen.

This will be an opener game of sorts for the Pirates, who will turn Carmen Mlodzinski first and there should be plenty of different arms facing Lewis. It also helps that the wind is blowing out at PNC Park at over 10 miles per hour to left field, all the direction that he has hit homers this year.

Jeremy Pena

Pena tears up lefty pitching, hitting .333 on the year with a .545 slugging percentage. Despite limited at bats against lefties, Pena has hit two of his five homers against southpaws and draws a regression bound Tyler Anderson on Saturday.

Anderson doesn't strike many batters out, sitting at 16% and he allows fly ball contact at nearly 63%. Without a ton of fastball velocity, Pena should have little issue getting a barrel on the ball, Anderson is in the 21st percentile in that metric, per MLBStatcast.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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6 Jun 24 Jimm Sallivan

Painting Corners: Best MLB Prop Bets Today (Bet on Luis Arraez to Have Big Game vs. Diamondbacks)

It's travel day in MLB with some teams heading to whichever city they'll play their weekend series, but we still have 10 games across the Majors for us to watch and bet on today.

If you're like me and you find more value in betting on player props when it comes to baseball, you've come to the right place. I've narrowed in on three prop bets that I'm locking in for Thursday's slate.

Let's dive into them.

Mariners vs. Athletics Prop Bet

We're going to continue to make the same bet in almost every single Seattle Mariners game. We'll once again take the OVER on the strikeout total for the pitcher they're facing, which this time is JP Sears.

The Mariners have the highest strikeout rate in MLB, striking out on 27.4% of their plate appearances. That's 1.3% higher than the next worst team.

Sears isn't exactly known as a strikeout pitcher, but he's gone over this number in four different starts already this season including his most recent start against the Atlanta Braves. There's no reason why he can't reach five strikeouts against the Mariners' bats.

Odds for this bet are via FanDuel Sportsbook

Pick: JP Sears OVER 4.5 strikeouts (-122)

Cubs vs. Reds Prop Bet

Hunter Green of the Cincinnati Reds has had a bit of an issue with his command of late. He's allowed at least four walks in three of his last six starts including his most recent start which came against this very same Cubs team. He gave up five walks in 6.0 innings pitched.

With his walk total set at just 2.5 with the odds set at +150, I won't hesitate to bet on him to hit the over on his walk total against the Cubs once again.

Odds for this bet are via DraftKings Sportsbook

Pick: Hunter Green OVER 2.5 walks (+150)

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prop Bet

We've already placed two pitcher prop bets, so now let's bet on a hitter. The Arizona Diamondbacks take on the San Diego Padres in the final game of the night and we're going to narrow in on Luis Arraez of the Padres.

He has been on fire lately, ranking 17th in the Majors in batting average amongst all batters with at least 15 plate appearances over the past 14 days. In that stretch, Arraez is batting .367. he also has eight runs and six RBIs in that time frame.

He and the rest of the Padres will face Slade Cecconi of the Diamondbacks, who has a poor ERA of 5.59 on the year.

I'm going to bet on Arraez to record at least three hits, runs, and RBIs.

Odds for this bet are via BetMGM Sportsbook

Pick: Luis Arraez OVER 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!

5 Jun 24 Jimm Sallivan

Daily Dinger: Best MLB Home Run Picks Today (Gunnar Henderson’s Prime to Go Yard)

With baseball all day, we all want to know who is going to crack one deep.

Lucky for you, I've canvassed the board for some advantageous matchups for hitters across Major League Baseball, including MVP candidate Gunnar Henderson of the Baltimore Orioles.

In addition to Henderson, I'm eyeing two other hitters that are in line ofr home runs, find out who below!

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Gunnar Henderson

Henderson is seeking his 20th home run of the season, and I love it to come on Wednesday.

Ranking in the 95th percentile or better in xSLG, average exit velocity and hard-hit percentage, per MLBStatcast. Henderson is rightfully inside of +400 to go deep against Jose Berrios, who has allowed hard contact on more than 44% of balls put in play, which is in the 18th percentile.

15 of his 19 homers have come against righties, and Berrios' looming regression due to hard contact makes Henderson a prime candidate to go deep on Wednesday.

Jeimer Candelario

Candelario is swinging a sweet bat at the moment, hitting .368 over his last 19 at bats with a home run while slugging .579. He draws a favorable matchup against Dakota Hudson of the Rockies at the hitter friendly Coors Field.

Hudson is struggling this season, posting a 5.02 ERA that balloons at home to a 7.43 ERA in five starts while allowing two home runs.

Candelario is slugging .444 against righties, far higher than his .397 mark against lefties while mashing six of his seven homers against righties, I'll back him in a good spot on Wednesday afternoon in Colorado.

Jake Cronenworth

A lefty batter, Cronenworth is a dangerous hitter against right handed pitching, mashing all of his eight home runs against that side while slugging .528. He is a disciplined hitter who is barreling up nearly nine percent of balls in play, which is in the 63rd percentile.

With the wind blowing out at Angel Stadium at about eight miles per hour, and a soft-tossing Jose Soriano set to start for the Halos, I like Cronenworth to crack his ninth dinger of the year.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.