Painting Corners: Best MLB Prop Bets Today (Bet on Luis Arraez to Have Big Game vs. Diamondbacks)

Painting Corners: Best MLB Prop Bets Today (Bet on Luis Arraez to Have Big Game vs. Diamondbacks)

It's travel day in MLB with some teams heading to whichever city they'll play their weekend series, but we still have 10 games across the Majors for us to watch and bet on today.

If you're like me and you find more value in betting on player props when it comes to baseball, you've come to the right place. I've narrowed in on three prop bets that I'm locking in for Thursday's slate.

Let's dive into them.

Mariners vs. Athletics Prop Bet

We're going to continue to make the same bet in almost every single Seattle Mariners game. We'll once again take the OVER on the strikeout total for the pitcher they're facing, which this time is JP Sears.

The Mariners have the highest strikeout rate in MLB, striking out on 27.4% of their plate appearances. That's 1.3% higher than the next worst team.

Sears isn't exactly known as a strikeout pitcher, but he's gone over this number in four different starts already this season including his most recent start against the Atlanta Braves. There's no reason why he can't reach five strikeouts against the Mariners' bats.

Odds for this bet are via FanDuel Sportsbook

Pick: JP Sears OVER 4.5 strikeouts (-122)

Cubs vs. Reds Prop Bet

Hunter Green of the Cincinnati Reds has had a bit of an issue with his command of late. He's allowed at least four walks in three of his last six starts including his most recent start which came against this very same Cubs team. He gave up five walks in 6.0 innings pitched.

With his walk total set at just 2.5 with the odds set at +150, I won't hesitate to bet on him to hit the over on his walk total against the Cubs once again.

Odds for this bet are via DraftKings Sportsbook

Pick: Hunter Green OVER 2.5 walks (+150)

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Prop Bet

We've already placed two pitcher prop bets, so now let's bet on a hitter. The Arizona Diamondbacks take on the San Diego Padres in the final game of the night and we're going to narrow in on Luis Arraez of the Padres.

He has been on fire lately, ranking 17th in the Majors in batting average amongst all batters with at least 15 plate appearances over the past 14 days. In that stretch, Arraez is batting .367. he also has eight runs and six RBIs in that time frame.

He and the rest of the Padres will face Slade Cecconi of the Diamondbacks, who has a poor ERA of 5.59 on the year.

I'm going to bet on Arraez to record at least three hits, runs, and RBIs.

Odds for this bet are via BetMGM Sportsbook

Pick: Luis Arraez OVER 2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!

Marlins Exec Makes Blunt Statement After Trading Luis Arráez to Padres

Marlins Exec Makes Blunt Statement After Trading Luis Arráez to Padres

Miami Marlins president of baseball operations Peter Bendix didn't mince words when reflecting on the trade he completed Friday night.

"We are unlikely to make the playoffs this year," Bendix bluntly said to reporters in a press conference.

The Marlins traded two-time batting champion Luis Arráez to the San Diego Padres in exchange for three prospects and reliever Woo-Suk Go.

Arraez was a staple in the Marlins' lineup since the team acquired him in a trade in January 2023, batting .343/.384/.450 across 180 games with Miami. He'll now join a Padres team attempting to keep up with the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West.

The Marlins were one of baseball's most surprising stories last year, winning 84 games and making the playoffs as a wild-card team. But they got off to a horrendous start in 2024, dropping their first nine games and 16 of their first 20.

Entering Saturday's slate of games, the Marlins are 9–25 and in last place in the NL West, 13 1/2 games behind the first-place Philadelphia Phillies. Fangraphs currently gives the Marlins just a 0.5% chance to make the playoffs.

There's a long way to go in the regular season—128 games remain on the Marlins' schedule—but Bendix is right. Miami probably won't make the playoffs. It's why one of baseball's best contact hitters is now wearing brown and gold in San Diego.

Prospect Learned He Was Part of Luis Arraez Trade While Standing on Second Base

Prospect Learned He Was Part of Luis Arraez Trade While Standing on Second Base

Miami Marlins infielder Luis Arraez was reportedly traded to the San Diego Padres in exchange for three prospects and a relief pitcher on Friday night. Well, one of the prospects, Nathan Martorella, a first baseman for the Padres' Double-A affiliate, the San Antonio Missions, learned that he was included in the deal in perhaps the most unexpected way possible.

Martorella, who had just lined a single to right field in the top of the third inning of the Missions' game against the Arkansas Travelers, advanced to second on a walk and was standing on second base when Missions manager Luke Montz emerged from the dugout and signaled for a pinch runner to replace a confused-looking Martorella.

Martorella and outfielder Jakob Marsee, who was also included in the Arraez deal, then said goodbye to their Missions teammates before jogging off the field to the clubhouse.

Kudos to Martorella and Marsee for making the best of the situation, and props to broadcaster Steven Davis for his outstanding call of the moment.

Along with Martorella and Marsee, the Padres also dealt outfield prospect Dillon Head and relief pitcher Woo Suk-Go to the Marlins for Arraez, a two-time National League batting champion.

Padres to Acquire Luis Arráez in Trade With Marlins, per Report

Padres to Acquire Luis Arráez in Trade With Marlins, per Report

Luis Arráez is on the move again.

ESPN's Jeff Passan reported Friday that the Miami Marlins are expected to trade Arráez to the San Diego Padres in exchange for three prospects and a relief pitcher. According to Marlins insider Craig Mish, San Diego will send outfield prospects Dillon Head and Jakob Marsee, first baseman Nathan Martorella and relief pitcher Woo-Suk Go to Miami in the deal.

The trade is not yet official.

Arráez, who won the AL batting title in 2022, was traded by the Minnesota Twins to Miami in January of 2023. The two-time All-Star infielder won the '23 NL batting title with the Marlins, hitting .354 in 147 games.

In 33 games this season, Arráez is hitting .299/.347/.372 with eight doubles and one triple.

Arráez plays primarily at second base but also can play at first base, third base and the corner outfield. He joins a Padres team that entered Friday night's slate 16–18 and in second place in the NL West.