Fantasy managers will never forget the impressive rookie season from Tank Dell, whose campaign was cut short by a broken leg in December. After watching highlight reel and highlight reel of CJ Stroud connecting with the third-round pick out of Houston, it was heartbreaking to see Dell carted off the field during the December 9th game vs. the Broncos as the Texans were making a surprising playoff push.
Luckily for Texans fans, Houston still grabbed that playoff berth.
Before exiting with the injury, Dell had bested WR Nico Collins in multiple essential metrics. Dell led the team with a 22.5% target share vs. Collins' 22.1%, and he had a significant advantage in air yards share: 35.9% vs. 25.3%. On a fantasy points-per-game basis, Dell averaged 18.7 points per game compared to Collins' 18.1.
Dell was one of the season's most successful waiver wire pickups until that injury occurred.
Dell was nearly fully recovered from his leg injury when he sustained another freak leg injury last month - this time from a bullet wound at a bar shooting in Florida. Luckily, in Dell's own words, this was a "wrong place at the wrong time" injury that was not severe.
However, the good news is that Dell was a full participant in all OTAs for the Texans just three weeks after his gunshot wound, and all reports are that he returned at high speed.
Fantasy managers should feel safe betting on the health and talent of Tank Dell despite the crowded receiver room in Houston. The Texans offense is sure to be high-powered with Dell, Collins, and the newly acquired veteran Stefon Diggs, not to mention tight end Dalton Schultz, who just signed a fresh three-year contract. However, Dell was drafted by the Texans at Stroud's request, and their chemistry is undeniable.
Dell's 107 targeted air yards per game was more than CeeDee Lamb in 2023, and his 70.9 receiving yards per game was more than Chris Olave and Amari Cooper. He was also a touchdown machine, averaging .7 scores per game, trailing only Mike Evans and Tyreek Hill. Dell is coming off the board as the WR37 well after Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs. I'm taking Dell at that value every day of the week.
Success in fantasy drafts is all about projecting which players are on the verge of a big season, and knowing who might take a step back in the numbers. It’s those players, who have been labeled as “busts” in the past, who can be the most detrimental to a fantasy manager’s chances at winning a title.
That might not be truer at a position than wide receiver.
The reason is simple: wideouts have emerged as the single most important position in all fantasy football. That means missing out on a high-end receiver can be tough to overcome. Case in point … fantasy managers who whiffed on Cooper Kupp last season probably had some major issues at the position, unless they picked up his teammate, Puka Nacua.
Most folks probably weren’t so fortunate, however.
With that in mind, here are eight receivers who will be high draft picks or are big names who could struggle to produce as prominent starters.
1. Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders
I had Adams listed as a player to beware last season, and he went on to post decreased totals in almost every statistical category. He still finished in the top 10 in points among wideouts, but he was wildly inconsistent. Adams scored fewer than 13 points in nine games, including five with single digits.
The Raiders don’t have an attractive quarterback situation with Aidan O’Connell and Gardner Minshew and the team drafted tight end Brock Bowers in the first round. That could affect Adams’ target share, at least to some degree. So, for those thinking Adams could return to elite fantasy status or that he’ll be more consistent, you might want to think again.
2. Stefon Diggs, Houston Texans
Diggs is coming off a disappointing second half of last season, which resulted in him averaging just 16.1 points per game. That was his lowest total with the Bills. Now in Houston, he joins a super-talented core of receivers that includes Nico Collins, who broke out last season, and Tank Dell, who was on his way to busting out before getting hurt. The team also boasts Noah Brown, Dalton Schultz and a new running back in Joe Mixon. Diggs will be hard-pressed to see anywhere near the target share he enjoyed in Buffalo. Unless injuries occur on the roster, Diggs can’t be trusted to retain his previously elite status.
3. Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams
I know, listing Kupp as a bust candidate after he was a bust last season is low-hanging fruit. And, honestly, part of me wants to put Nacua in the article. After all, we could be (and likely are) drafting him based on a magical, ceiling season in the stat sheets. But the truth is, Kupp has only played in 13 games in the last two years due to injuries, and he’s entering his age-31 season. That makes him a hard fade as a No. 1 wideout, and he’s even a risk as a No. 2.
4. Calvin Ridley, Tennessee Titans
Ridley was a top-20 fantasy wideout last year, but he was anything but reliable. He scored fewer than 12 points 10 times including nine where he scored single digits. Now in Tennessee, the veteran will be catching passes from a young quarterback in Will Levis and contending for targets with DeAndre Hopkins, Treylon Burks and Tyler Boyd. The Titans also have two good backs in Tony Pollard and Tyjae Spears, so Ridley could be hard-pressed to see high target totals consistently. To me, he’s only a No. 3 wideout.
5. Keenan Allen, Chicago Bears
Allen was putting up monster numbers last year, but injuries cost him what might have been a career-best campaign. However, an offseason trade to the Bears makes him a lot less attractive from a fantasy standpoint. Their offense is led by a rookie quarterback in Caleb Williams, and it’s loaded with talent that includes DJ Moore, rookie Rome Odunze, D’Andre Swift, Cole Kmet and Gerald Everett. That’s a lot of mouths to feed, making it unlikely that Allen will see 150-plus targets. If you do draft him, it should be as a No. 3 receiver.
6. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks
Lockett is coming off a down season that saw his reception, yardage, and touchdown totals decrease compared to 2022. What’s more, his 11.9 point-per-game average was his lowest since 2017. Entering his age-31 season (he’ll turn 32 in September), I see Lockett falling behind teammate Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the pecking order. That idea is playing out in drafts, as JSN is going ahead of Lockett based on average draft position. With the statistical arrow pointing downward, he shouldn’t be picked as more than a No. 4 option in drafts.
7. Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers
Watson was considered a breakout player last year, but he went on to miss eight games due to injuries and was held to fewer than 12 points in all but two of the nine games he was active. His absence opened the door for teammates Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks to emerge into viable options for Jordan Love and fantasy managers. I’m not opposed to taking him in the later rounds as a No. 4 wideout, but I’m otherwise out on Watson.
8. Adam Thielen, Carolina Panthers
Thielen was one of the best wide receivers in fantasy football in the first half of last season, averaging 20.2 points in his first seven games. The wheels fell off after that, however, as he dropped to 8.9 points in his final 10 contests. Aside from that, Carolina traded for Diontae Johnson and drafted Xavier Legette, so Thielen will struggle to see such a high target share again. Entering his age-34 season, he isn’t worth more than a late-round selection.
Fantasy football isn't just all about redraft leagues, where managers pick a new team every season. The fantasy world has expanded over the decades, and dynasty leagues are one of if not the most challenging and comprehensive of those expansions. In these formats, you have one main draft (a startup) where you compile a roster that you will keep year after year.
In the seasons that follow, your league will hold yearly rookie-only drafts with the goal of building not only for the present but for the future as well. Younger players are going to hold more value in dynasty leagues. Tyreek Hill is a great player and all, and he’ll be picked in the top five in redraft leagues. That’s because you’re drafting him for just the next season.
But, entering his age-30 season, the Cheetah isn’t as valuable in dynasty formats. You’ll see that sort of pattern with many fantasy stars who are in the middle or latter stages of their careers. That list includes the likes of Aaron Rodgers, Derrick Henry and even Travis Kelce.
So, for those managers looking to take that next step in their fantasy football obsession, here are my positional dynasty startup rankings for 2024. Because age is more important in this format, I’ve included every player’s age starting in September 2024 (the start of the new season).
Let’s start building the foundation for a real “dynasty” roster!
2024 Fantasy Football Dynasty Quarterback Rankings
Rank. Player - Team - Age
1. Jalen Hurts - PHI - 26
2. Josh Allen - BUF - 28
3. Patrick Mahomes - KC - 28
4. C.J. Stroud - HOU - 22
5. Anthony Richardson - IND - 22
6. Lamar Jackson - BAL - 28
7. Joe Burrow - CIN - 27
8. Caleb Williams - CHI - 21
9. Jordan Love - GB - 25
10. Jayden Daniels - WAS - 23
11. Justin Herbert - LAC - 26
12. Brock Purdy - SF - 24
13. Dak Prescott - DAL - 31
14. Trevor Lawrence - JAC - 24
15. Kyler Murray - ARI - 27
16. Tua Tagovailoa - MIA - 26
17. Drake Maye - NE - 22
18. J.J. McCarthy - MIN - 21
19. Justin Fields - PIT - 25
20. Bryce Young - CAR - 23
21. Jared Goff - DET - 29
22. Deshaun Watson - CLE - 28
23. Kirk Cousins - ATL - 36
24. Bo Nix - DEN - 24
25. Will Levis - TEN - 25
26. Baker Mayfield - TB - 29
27. Matthew Stafford - LAR - 36
28. Michael Penix Jr. - ATL - 24
29. Derek Carr - NO - 33
30. Aaron Rodgers - NYJ - 40
31. Geno Smith - SEA - 33
32. Russell Wilson - PIT - 35
33. Daniel Jones - NYG - 27
34. Gardner Minshew - LV - 28
35. Sam Howell - SEA - 24
36. Aidan O'Connell - LV - 26
37. Jarret Stidham - DEN - 28
38. Sam Darnold - MIN - 27
39. Zach Wilson - DEN - 25
40. Drew Lock - NYG - 27
2024 Fantasy Football Dynasty Running Back Rankings
Rank. Player - Team - Age
1. Bijan Robinson - ATL - 22
2. Breece Hall - NYJ - 23
3. Jahmyr Gibbs - DET - 22
4. Jonathan Taylor - IND - 25
5. Christian McCaffrey - CAR - 28
6. Travis Etienne - JAC - 25
7. Kyren Williams - LAR - 24
8. De'Vone Achane - MIA - 22
9. James Cook - BUF - 24
10. Kenneth Walker - SEA - 23
11. Isiah Pacheco - KC - 25
12. Josh Jacobs - LV - 26
13. Saquon Barkley - PHI - 27
14. Jonathon Brooks - CAR - 21
15. Rachaad White - TB - 25
16. Rhamondre Stevenson - NE - 26
17. Javonte Williams - DEN - 24
18. Zamir White - LV - 25
19. D'Andre Swift - CHI - 25
20. Trey Benson - ARI - 22
21. Najee Harris - PIT - 26
22. Joe Mixon - CIN - 28
23. Tony Pollard - TEN - 27
24. David Montgomery - DET - 27
25. Alvin Kamara - NO - 29
26. Brian Robinson Jr. - WAS - 25
27. Nick Chubb - CLE - 28
28. Derrick Henry - BAL - 31
29. Zack Moss - CIN - 26
30. Tyjae Spears - TEN - 23
31. Zach Charbonnet - SEA - 23
32. James Conner - ARI - 29
33. Aaron Jones - GB - 29
34. Jaylen Warren - PIT - 25
35. Devin Singletary - NYG - 27
36. Blake Corum - LAR - 23
37. MarShawn Lloyd - GB - 22
38. Kendre Miller - NO - 22
39. Jaylen Wright - MIA - 21
40. Jaleel McLaughlin - DEN - 24
41. Chase Brown - CIN - 24
42. Austin Ekeler - LAC - 29
43. Chuba Hubbard - CAR - 25
44. Bucky Irving - TB - 22
45. Jerome Ford - CLE - 24
46. J.K. Dobbins - LAC - 26
47. Raheem Mostert - MIA - 32
48. Antonio Gibson - WAS - 26
49. Tyler Allgeier - ATL - 24
50. Roschon Johnson - CHI - 23
51. Gus Edwards - LAC - 29
52. Ty Chandler - MIN - 26
53. Rico Dowdle - DAL - 26
54. Keaton Mitchell - BAL - 22
55. Dameon Pierce - HOU - 24
56. Khalil Herbert - CHI - 26
57. Ezekiel Elliott - DAL - 29
58. Ray Davis - BUF - 24
59. Elijah Mitchell - SF - 26
60. Alexander Mattison - LV - 26
61. Tank Bigsby - JAC - 23
62. Braelon Allen - NYJ - 20
63. Will Shipley - PHI - 21
64. Kenneth Gainwell - PHI - 25
65. Audric Estime - DEN - 21
66. Miles Sanders - CAR - 27
67. Clyde Edwards-Helaire - KC - 25
68. Jamaal Williams - NO - 29
69. Tyrone Tracy - NYG - 24
70. AJ Dillon - GB - 26
71. Kimani Vidal - LAC - 23
72. Isaiah Spiller - LAC - 23
73. Isaac Guerendo - SF - 24
74. Jordan Mason - SF - 25
75. Deuce Vaughn - DAL - 22
76. Trey Sermon - IND - 25
77. Israel Abanikanda - NYJ - 21
78. Justice Hill - BAL - 26
79. Isaiah Davis - NYJ - 22
80. D'Onta Foreman - CLE - 28
2024 Fantasy Football Dynasty Wide Receiver Rankings
The NFL’s offseason has been a wild ride, as several big-name players will be wearing new uniforms this year. We’ve seen high-end fantasy players get traded, released and re-signed, not to mention a number of potential fantasy stars have their names called during the 2024 NFL draft.
All of these moves, of course, have seriously altered individual player values in many cases. With that said, below is my list of the top 200 fantasy players heading into the 2024 NFL campaign.
At quarterback, the biggest mover is obviously Justin Fields. Traded to the Pittsburgh Steelers and projected to back up Russell Wilson (at least initially), Fields went from a top-12 field general to being ranked outsidethe top 200. That could change depending on what happens in the weeks and months to come, but for now Fields is no more than a late-round draft flier as a No. 3 fantasy quarterback.
That's crazy, isn't it?
At running back, where we saw an absolute boatload of player movement, you’ll see slight upticks for Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs and Derrick Henry with their new teams. A few other RBs, including Zack Moss and Zamir White, have also seen their value rise based on player movement on their respective teams this offseason. The top rookie, Jonathon Brooks, didn't crack my top 50.
The top of the wide receiver list has changed slightly, as I moved Justin Jefferson from No. 1 to No. 3 after the departure of Kirk Cousins. For now, CeeDee Lamb and Tyreek Hill are my top two receivers. Speaking of Cousins, his presence in Atlanta has Drake London’s stock on the rise. He’ll be a popular breakout player. Top rookie wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. is in my top 40.
Some of the receivers who have seen their value decline are DJ Moore and Keenan Allen, who will contend for targets with rookie Rome Odunze in the Windy City rather than being their team’s clear top option. Calvin Ridley and DeAndre Hopkins hurt each other’s ceilings in Tennessee, and Marquise Brown’s presence in Kansas City makes Rashee Rice (who could be suspended) a bit less attractive. The selection of speedy rookie Xavier Worthy also has Rice's stock in a state of fantasy flux.
At tight end, I moved Kyle Pitts back into my top 10 with Cousins under center. With questions about his return from a torn ACL, I have T.J. Hockenson at No. 11. He would normally be in the top three with Sam LaPorta and Travis Kelce. Speaking of Kelce, this is the first time he hasn’t been the top-ranked tight end since, well, I can’t even remember! My top rookie, Brock Bowers, is a low-end starter.
Being that it’s only May, this list of 200 is going to change in the next few months. But for now, this is how I'm seeing player fantasy values and draft positions pan out based on all the roster data.
So, sit back, relax and enjoy! Fantasy football season is never too far away!
The 2024 NFL draft is in the rearview mirror, so we now have a very clear picture of how NFL rosters will look heading into the summer months. We're almost fully aware of player personnel, training camp battles and coaching moves, so it's time for the next step ... projecting fantasy player values!
Player rankings are a labor of love for me, and I'll be updating these throughout the remainder of the offseason, into training camps and the preseason contests leading up to the 2024 NFL campaign. What I feel right now about a player (ex. I LOVE Jayden Daniels) might change as I hear reports and see what the versatile rookie quarterback does on the NFL gridiron leading up to the new season.
The same goes for potential depth chart battles, like the one that's inevitably going to occur in the Carolina Panthers backfield. Rookie Jonathon Brooks is the easy answer to lead this team in touches, but Chuba Hubbard and Miles Sanders won't lay down and die. There will be competition, and Brooks is coming off a torn ACL in his final season at Texas. Things change, so keep checking back!
Without further ado, here are the rankings for each position.
The end of the 2024 NFL draft starts for many the continued building of our fantasy football dynasty rosters. If you're not in the know, dynasty leagues don't have a yearly "re-draft," but instead managers keep their same rosters year over year and hold rookie-only drafts. That makes choosing the right rooks very important when it comes to roster construction and depth chart improvement.
With that said, here's my initial look at the top 50 rookies to target in dynasty leagues. These rankings are based on a full-point PPR scoring system and focus on leagues that aren't in the superflex mold.
Of course, roster needs are very important in dynasty formats. For example, maybe you're stacked at wideout and a bit less so at tight end, so you might go with Brock Bowers ahead of someone like Rome Odunze, even if the latter is ranked higher. Obviously, the choice is yours. But these rankings will give you a good baseline from which to draw your own conclusions and draft choices.
So, in the words of NFL commissioner Roger Goodell, with the first pick in YOUR 2024 fantasy football dynasty league draft, the top overall teams selects ...