2024 Women's Wimbledon Odds: Aryna Sabalenka Favored to Win First Grass Grand Slam

2024 Women’s Wimbledon Odds: Aryna Sabalenka Favored to Win First Grass Grand Slam

Following the 2024 French Open, we turn our attention to the grass swing of the WTA season.

With Wimbledon fast approaching, Aryna Sabalenka, the No. 2 tennis player in the World, will start grass play as the favorite to win her first title at the All England Club, which begins on July 1st and runs through July 14th.

Sabalenka hasn't advanced past the quarterfinals at Wimbledon, but her potent first serve and ability to dictate quick points has oddsmakers installing her as the favorite early on, with surprising 2023 champion Markéta Vondroušová further down the board at +1600.

Here's the full odds for 2024 Wimbledon in the wake of the 2024 French Open.

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

Sablenka is favored over No. 1 Iga Świątek, who also hasn't captured much glory at Wimbledon, also failing to make it past the quarterfinals in this Grand Slam.

While last year's champion Vondroušová enters as a credible threat this season, she was a longshot heading into the 2023 edition, and another longshot could take control again with grass proving to be difficult to navigate for some of the top women.

The name that has been most consistently at the top has been Ons Jabeur, who was the runner up in each of the past two Grand Slam's at the All England Club. She enters +1400. The woman she lost to in 2022, Elena Rybakina, is the third choice to win a second Grand Slam here after making the quarterfinals in the French Open.

Meanwhile, Coco Gauff will hope for a better run this year after losing in the first round in 2023.

Wimbledon has been as chaotic as any of the Grand Slams, and without a clear cut favorite, we may be in for more surprises in 2024.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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Coco Gauff vs. Iga Swiatek Prediction, Odds and Pick for French Open Semifinals

Coco Gauff vs. Iga Swiatek Prediction, Odds and Pick for French Open Semifinals

Iga Świątek has responded to a slow start to the French Open to looking like the outright favorite she was listed before the start.

Świątek has demolished the competition since a close call in the second round against Naomi Osaka, winning three straight matches while dropping eight games across them, including a 6-0, 6-2 quarterfinals win against No. 6 Markéta Vondroušová. 

Świątek faces No. 3 Coco Gauff in the semifinals in hopes of making a fourth semifinals in five years. 

The No. 1 player in the world has owned this head-to-head matchup against the U.S. Open champion Gauff, winning 10 of 11 matches, will that continue on Thursday?

Here’s our full betting preview. 

Spread

Moneyline

Total: 18.5 (Over -116/Under -116)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

It’s staggering to see Świątek listed as a -850 favorite against the No. 3 player in the world, but that is the gap between Swiatek and the top players on clay right now. The winner of three of the last four French Open titles is playing at her peak and should have little issue overpowering Gauff yet again. 

So, what’s the best way to bet it? 

I believe it’s the under on games.

Gauff hasn’t put her first serve in at greater than 60% since the first round, but no player has made the No. 3 player pay. However, that’ll be a different story against Świątek, who is converting 53% of her break point opportunities. 

When the two players met in Rome a few weeks ago, a 6-4, 6-3 win for Świątek, Gauff was able to fend off seven of 11 break points. However, given Świątek’s prowess on return, I believe she will be able to convert at a far higher clip if Gauff isn’t able to raise her first-serve percentage. 

While that meeting on May 16th squeaked over the total of 19.5 games, I believe that the current form of Świątek is even better and she can find more separation on the scoreboard. 

PICK: UNDER 18.5 Games (-116)

Ons Jabeur vs. Coco Gauff Prediction, Odds and Pick for French Open Quarterfinal

Ons Jabeur vs. Coco Gauff Prediction, Odds and Pick for French Open Quarterfinal

Coco Gauff, 2023 US Open Winner, is into the quarterfinal at Roland-Garros in hopes of making a second French Open title match after making it in 2022. 

Gauff will face Ons Jabeur, who is into the quarterfinals of this Grand Slam for the second consecutive year, but has struggled against the top ranked American woman tennis player in the world. 

Jabeur has had for more trouble getting to this point, needing far more court time than Gauff, who hasn’t dropped a set this tournament. 

The odds reflect a likely Gauff victory, but can Jabeur stay competitive? Here are the odds and our best bet for the French Open quarterfinals. 

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Moneyline

Total: 20.5 (Over -110/Under -120)

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook

This is the second French Open meeting between these two, Gauff steamrolled Jabeur in a 2-0 (6-3, 6-1) win back in the 2021 fourth round, but Jabeur has been far better on clay since. 

While the Tunisian has played more this tournament than she likely would have liked, she has been capable of beating Gauff in the past, including on clay in 2020 (Charleston). Gauff hasn’t dropped a set at Roland-Garros yet, but she hasn’t faced a top 30 competitor just yet. 

Jabeur, No. 9 in the world, is one of the better on serve on clay, winning more than 69% of her service matches on clay in non-French Open meetings, per TennisAbstract.com. Her ability to hold off break opportunities is going to be imperative against the pace of Gauff, in hopes of dragging matches to a tiebreak and opening up an upset opportunity. 

In five losses on clay this season, Jabeur has only lost one of those in straight sets, which included a tiebreaker. She has been able to stay close to opponents throughout this swing and while Guaff is rightfully the favorite, I believe this won’t be a blowout. 

My preferred bet in this match is Jabeur +5.5 games in hopes that she can extend the match, or possibly take a set in order to secure this massive spread. 

PICK: Jabeur +5.5 (+106)

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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